Service Plays Saturday 1/16/10

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<hr style="color: rgb(253, 222, 130); background-color: rgb(253, 222, 130);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> For Saturday:


Parsons' **Cards/Saints** ATS ROUT
Nick is already enjoying a strong NFL post-season having gone 3-1 (75%) with his Wild Card Weekend plays; he'll look to continue that positive momentum all the way to Super Bowl XLIV! This game has all the makings of an ABSOLUTE ROUT; find out which teams "Brings Home The Bacon"! Cards? Saints? Get the answer here!

Saints



BIG AL's 100% PERFECT (12-0) SATURDAY NFL WINNER!
Al McMordie has a SUPER NFL PLAYOFF WINNER in Saturday's action. It's out of a 100% PERFECT SYSTEM that hasn't lost in the Post-Season in 30 years! It's 12-0 ATS, and the 13th WINNER in a ROW goes Saturday. Hop on board right now, and pick up the BIG PLAY + the 100% System, and WIN!

Saints


*THE BIG ONE* Burns' PLAYOFF GAME OF YEAR! (EARLY)
Ben Burns is 19-9, in all sports, the L5 Saturdays. He NAILED HIS HIGHEST RATED SIDE of the Wildcard Rd, Zona over GB. More importantly, despite coming off a rare down weekend overall, his longterm NFL playoff stats are TRULY REMARKABLE. Saturday afternoon, he steps out with his ONE AND ONLY PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. Get on it!


Saints
 
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NFL DUNKEL

Arizona at New Orleans
The Cardinals look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games as an underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. Arizona is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7). Here are all of this week's picks.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 16

Game 109-110: Arizona at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 134.110; New Orleans 135.929
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 2; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7); Under

Game 111-112: Baltimore at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.997; Indianapolis 143.727
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 6; 44
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-6); Over
 

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BRANDON LANG

100 DIME - INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - Peyton owns the Ravens.

Back in November he took his Colts into Baltimore and engineered a 17-15 Colts win and cover.

In that game the Ravens were driving and were in field goal range, when Flacco threw a terrible pick and Indy secured the win.

It was a weird game from the standpoint Indy was up 14-12 and going in for another touchdown early 3rd quarter when tight end Santi fumbled at the Ravens 2 yard line keeping those 7 points off the board.

The Ravens did move the ball well but settled for 5 field goals, and also missed a 30 yarder as well.

Last year he was rusty when he faced them at home in week 6 and lit them up 31-3 like it was nobody's business - and how did Joe Flacco do against Indy's cover two defense?

The Ravens only crossed into Colts territory on three of their 12 drives and turned the ball over five times.

Not enough for you, let me take you back to the 2006 season when the Ravens met the Colts in the 2nd round of the NFL playoffs in Baltimore.

Ravens were off a bye week. They had the # 2 run defense. The # 6 pass defense. The # 1 overall defense. They were ready.

Peyton Manning and the Colts won the game 15-6 on the way to their Super Bowl victory.

Let me break it down a little easier for you.

Throw out the performance of Tom Brady last week, the fact of the matter is Tom looked like he didn't want to be there as did the rest of the Patriots.

On the road at San Diego, Rivers was 25 for 45 for 421 yards and if not for a horrific 4th and 1 play call, they don't beat Philip Rivers. Aaron Rogers had a big day. Brett Favre had a big day. Rothliesberger had a big day.

The weakness of this Ravens defense is their secondary and if you don't get pressure with your blitz, your man to man coverage behind it is going to get lit up like a Christmas tree at night.

Prior to beating the Patriots last week the Ravens had only 2 road wins, the Browns and the Raiders. Most alarming is the fact if the Raiders had a Quarterback other than JaMarcus Russell, I believe the Ravens don't win that game.

Question, who is the best QB in the NFL at handling the blitz? Answer is 100% without a doubt Peyton Manning.

This is as bad a matchup for the Ravens as you can ask for, and I fully expect Peyton to do what he always does versus this Baltimore team and that is execute his offense to precision and get the win.

I am aware of the fact Indy is 0-3 in the playoffs coming off a bye week and if they were playing anybody else other than the Ravens I might be inclined to look the other way.

Fact of the matter is Ray Lewis and this Ravens defense could match wits with Peyton 100 times, and I would go with Peyton all 100, unless the Ravens made a drastic change in their defensive philosophy.

That is not happening in mine or yours lifetime.The Ravens do what they do. Blitz, and play man behind it. If you can protect and beat us.Congrats. You beat us but it still won't stop us from blitzing.

It is who they are.

Honestly, beating a team once or twice in a row, or even 3 times in a row maybe considered lucky...but 7 times in a row? With the same QB and the same basic defense this QB has seen all 7 times? My point exactly.

Do you really think the Ravens can come up with anything in this game Peyton hasn't seen from them before? And he faces them at home.

The Colts have a lot to prove today. All this talk of about sitting starters and not going for 16-0 and having to answer questions about it and defend their coach and what they did.

Bottom line is an emphatic win today at home silences everyone and trust me, behind closed doors, Indy is on a mission today to quiet the critics and with an impressive performance today announces to the NFL world we are the team to beat.

I am getting great line value with Indy laying less than a touchdown at home against a team they just flat out match up well against and I will gladly grab that value and sit back and watch the Indy machine show up and flat out get the job done.

Indy rolls by double digits Saturday night.

100 DIME - INDY

25 DIME - ARIZONA CARDINALS - (If line is 7 you buy the 1/2 to +7 1/2 if line moved down to 6 1/2 you buy up to +7. Line value with the underdog.)

I'm gonna ride them.

Could they get blown out? Absolutely but until somebody does blow them out, I will gladly grab a touchdown with a red hot playoff QB working in an offense he loves.

When you start going 29 of 33 in a playoff game against a top 3 defense, you have to take notice. Even more impressive is the fact you put up 29 of 33 without your # 2 wide receiver.

Saints just aren't the team we saw early on. Their defense isn't getting turnovers like they were earlier in the year and the reason why is they are banged up.

This game may very well come down to who has the ball last but this Cardinals bunch is a hard bunch to blow out with the offensive weapons they have.

Am I a bit concerned about their defense? Yes but understand, their defense wasn't as bad as they looked last week.

When a team gets down 3 touchdowns in the 2nd half, the game becomes a run and gun affair, the offensive game plan is out the window and everything is a scramble.

There are alarming things that force me to back the Cardinals here.

After their loss to Dallas the Saints still had to play hard to secure the home field in the NFC when they faced Tampa Bay the following week and to watch them lose that game at home 20-17 sets off warning signs to me.

The bottom line is until somebody plays well enough to cover a playoff game versus Kurt Warner and Ken Wisenhunt, I will gladly grab the value with the hot underdog and let the chips fall where they may.

I am counting on the Cardinals to win the turnover battle and if they do, chances are they win the game outright. I like my chances with Kurt Warner, indoors, on a fast track, against a suspect defense.

If Jason Campbell can have a career day against this Saints defense and Chris Redman can throw for over 300 yards on this Saints defense, I will let the good times roll with Warner.

25 dime - ARIZONA CARDINALS
 

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LANG on PHILLY DAILY NEWS LIVE

AZ OVER 57
INDY under 44.5
DALLAS under 46
JETS over 42
MINN -3 ( two for the $ )
 

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Steven Budin-CEO
Saturday's Play NEW YORK CREW

50 DIME RELEASE

2-Team Teaser - Indianapolis & San Diego

Reduce the price you are laying with both favorites.

At the time of this release, Indy (-6') and San Diego (-7) were both home favorites. Using the traditional 6 points you receive in a two-team teaser, make the Colts and Chargers approximately -1 in their respective games against visiting Baltimore and New York.

FYI - As you know, Indianapolis plays Saturday; San Diego on Sunday
 

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Steven Budin-CEO
Saturday's Play NEW YORK CREW

50 DIME RELEASE

2-Team Teaser - Indianapolis & San Diego

Reduce the price you are laying with both favorites.

At the time of this release, Indy (-6') and San Diego (-7) were both home favorites. Using the traditional 6 points you receive in a two-team teaser, make the Colts an...d Chargers approximately -1 in their respective games against visiting Baltimore and New York.

FYI - As you know, Indianapolis plays Saturday; San Diego on Sunday
 

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Sirduke Sports

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirduke Sports</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1/16/2010</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>4:30:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Members</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>109</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>New Orleans Saints -7</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>5*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1/16/2010</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>8:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Easy Winner</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>111</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Baltimore Ravens +6.5</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>9*</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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SPORTS INSIGHTS

Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints

With the Public overwhelmingly on Arizona, our readers know who we will favor. Surprisingly, we are taking the favored Saints -- but the Public often goes by the, "What have you done for me lately?" mentality. We will be "selling" Arizona's dramatic OT victory over Green Bay -- and "buying" New Orleans on a down swing -- as they stumbled in the final weeks of the NFL regular season.

In addition to "buying low" and "selling high" -- SportsInsights had several Smart Money alerts come in on New Orleans. Our Members know that we always follow the Smart Money. So there you have it: we get to "bet against the Public" and follow the "Sharps" as we take a rare favorite. We expect the Saints to "come back to form" now that the playoffs have begun for them. The Saints were 13-0 at one point this season -- and they led the league in net points (PF minus PA). Give the points.

New Orleans Saints -7 +102 (Bet at Matchbook -7 +100)

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights.com analysis for this week’s Games to Watch - Playoff Edition for the NFL.

Games to Watch - Playoff Edition (1-0 100%)
New Orleans Saints -7 +100 (Bet at Matchbook -7 +100)
 

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Doug Williams


Arizona Cardinals +7 @ New Orleans Saints -7

This is going to be a very exciting game. The Saints are favorites by 7 points.
I have a feeling that the Cardinals will go down and beat the New Orleans Saints, but it may not be that close.
The Cards have too many tools for the Saints to deal with.
My Pick: Arizona Cardinals (take the alternative line of +3.5)

Baltimore Ravens +6 @ Indianapolis Colts -6
The Colts are six point favorites here, but can the Colts can face up to the most physical defense in the NFL?
Baltimore will play a more physical game than Indy is used to, they surprized everyone beating the Patriots last week and an upset is on the cards here too.
My Pick: Baltimore Ravens to Cover the +6 points.
 

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GAme of the Year

Handicapper: Joe Gaffney

8 Unit xxxxx xxxxxxxxxx Burial Play.
The Jets got a couple of breaks to close out the regular season by facing teams that had nothing to play for. Their luck will run out on Sunday against one of the best teams in the NFL. The Chargers go into the playoffs as one of them dangerous teams in the group. They are white hot right now and haven't even peaked yet. Look for Chargers to not only cover the spread, but to win by 2 touchdowns or more.
 
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SPORTS NETWORK
OVERALL ANALYSIS

It's going to be hard to top the excitement created in Arizona's last game, but this all-important showdown shouldn't lack for fireworks with a pair of explosive offenses directed by top-notch quarterbacks and two defenses that have shown to be vulnerable at times during this season. In what should be a most competitive contest between two quality teams that appear to be evenly matched, the Cardinals' pedigree could wind up being the x-factor. Arizona has proven time and time again to have a knack for rising to the occasion when the stakes are at their highest, and this is a team that likely won't be intimidated by the hostile surroundings of the Superdome. The problems the Saints displayed on defense during the stretch run are legitimate concerns as well, and that could prevent what's been a storybook season from having a fairy-tale ending.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Cardinals 27, Saints 24
 

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SPORTS NETWORK
OVERALL ANALYSIS

The Ravens' performance last week against the Patriots perhaps shows that they were a wolf in sheep's clothing during the regular season, and the fact that Baltimore played Indianapolis nearly even back in November should have Harbaugh's squad brimming with confidence as it takes the field Saturday night. The Ravens should be able to move the football against the Colts, and figure to find the end zone a couple of times against Indy after coming up short in that area in the last battle. But the matchup is tough for the Baltimore defense, which won't be able to attack the quick-firing Manning the way it did Brady last week, thus leaving a highly suspect group of cornerbacks exposed on the back end. What's more, the fact that Indianapolis is indeed rested, while the Ravens are taking their fourth high-pressure road trip in as many weeks, is another mark in favor of the home team. Look for Harbaugh's squad to keep it interesting, but ultimately fall.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Colts 23, Ravens 19
 
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Dave Tuley

NFL FOOTBALL (79-52-3, 59.7%, for a net profit of 18.9 units)
Playoffs record: 3-1 for a net profit of 1.9 units

Cardinals +7 vs. Saints...gonna keep backing Cards, who've cashed 5 straight playoff games for me...Saints have come back to Earth, too
Ravens +6.5 vs. Colts...same reasons I've been fading Colts...Ravens have D to slow them down, and running game to go right through them (and Baltimore should have won the regular-season meeting)
Cowboys-Vikings UNDER 48...both offenses capable of putting up points, but defenses should step up...first posted this late Saturday night...like is down to 46
Jets-Chargers...no decision yet (taking Jets' defense vs. Bengals' offense was one thing...Chargers are better...slight lean on under 42.5

Good luck, everyone!
 
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BANG THE BOOK

The Arizona Cardinals appeared to have magic on their side yet again as they took down the Green Bay Packers in one of the highest scoring games in postseason history 51-45 in overtime. The Cardinals appear to be carrying the perception they did last year at this time as a dangerous underdog. The Cardinals offense has been its best in the postseason over the last two years, but now Arizona will take on the NFL’s top offense in the New Orleans Saints. The Saints had a first round bye so they will be plenty rested after finishing the year with the best record in the NFC at 13-3. However, all of the Saints defeats came in the last 3 weeks of the season and it will be interesting to see if they can relocate their swagger.

The Cardinals defense come up big on a few key plays intercepting Aaron Rodgers very first pass and Karlos Dansby recovered a fumble while running it back for a touchdown on the final play of the game. In between those big plays, the Cardinals secondary gave up plenty of big plays as the game turned into a quarterback dual between Rodgers and Kurt Warner. Rodgers was sensational after the pick racking up 422 yards against the Cardinals defense that just looked very confused too often. The pass defense will be the main concern this weekend as everyone knows that the Saints attack through the air more often than any team in the league. The Saints offense led the NFL for most of the season before sliding in their final few games to 272 yards per game. However, their passing attack led by Drew Brees is among the best there is and they will surely give the Cardinals defense tons of trouble if they play like they did last week.

Even if the Cardinals defense struggles, they still have QB Kurt Warner on their side. Warner proved again last week why he should be Hall of Fame bound as one of the best quarterbacks when it comes playoffs time. Warner completed 29 of 33 passing for 379 yards and 5 touchdowns. That is 88% passing with more touchdowns than incomplete passes, which is simply amazing. The Cardinals will definitely need a lot of offense again this week to pull of the upset. WR Anquan Boldin is still hampering an ankle injury that kept him out of last week’s win against the Packers. While that definitely hurts, it is manageable if the Cardinals get WR Steve Breaston to have another big game. Breaston caught 7 passes for 125 yards to pick up the empty space by Boldin and they need another similar effort. Of course you can never forget about Larry “Mr. Playoffs” Fitzgerald as well, Fitzgerald caught 6 passes for 82 yards and two touchdowns. Those numbers may be a bit off from his record setting pace from last year, but as long as he continues to grab touchdown passes the Cardinals will be fine.

The Saints offense as previously mentioned made defenses look like really bad earlier this year, but the passing offense burned out a bit down the stretch. Brees threw for 4,300 plus yards while completing 70% passing with 34 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on the season. However, the passing offense was not as efficient in their last few games. Hopefully the Saints can dial up the high power offense again and provide some fireworks. They definitely have the wide receivers to cause all kind of trouble for the Arizona defense.

WR Marques Colston eclipsed the 1,000 yard mark this season along with 9 touchdowns. Also, receivers Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem both combined for 1,500 additional yards and 11 scores. If these guys can find holes early and keep the Arizona safeties on their heels they can really do some damage. However, their success will likely ride on the play of the offensive line. Brees has been protected very well this year, but the Cardinals defensive front is playing well. It is imperative that Brees have time to throw the football or they are doomed. Remember the Cowboys defensive pressure up front ended their shot at a perfect season and they do not need to let another solid defensive front have their way again.

Pick – The Cardinals have reached the under in 5 of their last 7 games and I think the lines are a bit too high following last week’s shootout with the Packers. I’m leaning towards the under here and believe the Cardinals will also keep it within the points as well.






The Indianapolis Colts coaching staff led by Jim Caldwell received a ton of criticism for resting their players and seemingly throwing away the opportunity at a perfect season a few weeks ago. However, now the time is here to see if resting the starters was indeed the correct call. Possibly anything less than an AFC Championship would be a waste considering the Colts had a great chance to become just the 5th team in history to end the year undefeated. However, moving forward the Colts will put their focus to the visiting Baltimore Ravens this Saturday night. The Ravens just flat dominated the New England Patriots last week on both sides of the ball. Running back Ray Rice, who has been the heart of the offense, busted the first play from scrimmage open with an 83 yard touchdown run. The damage inflicted by the Ravens never let up as Rice rumbled for 159 rushing yards to lead efforts in a 33-14 victory over the Patriots.

To make matters worse, the Ravens pass defense played incredible constantly filling the passing lanes, making quick cuts to the ball, and disguising the defense very well. Baltimore shut down Patriots superstar quarterback Tom Brady who just threw for just 132 yards while forcing 3 interceptions during the contests. If those numbers do not head warning for Peyton Manning and company, they definitely should. The Ravens defense is playing extremely well. They are getting excellent pressure up front playing even better in the secondary which will match-up very well against the Colts offense. If they keep Peyton Manning moving and limit the big plays to WR Reggie Wayne, the Ravens will have a good chance at scoring the upset once again.

Of course keeping Manning contained like trying to tame a wild animal. Manning perhaps the best play caller in the league, threw for an NFL 2nd highest 4,500 passing yards this season. WR Reggie Wayne posted over 1,200 yards this season while tight end Dallas Clark was equally effective racking up 1,100 plus yards as well. So needless to say the Ravens secondary will be in for yet another task to stop the Colts passing game. However much like the Patriots, the Colts are fairly a one dimensional offense. Joseph Addai tallied 828 yards this season, but the Colts are anything but a rushing offense. If the Ravens can shut down the air attack, they could have very similar success. Of course that will be a bit more difficult this week as well.

On the Ravens offense, QB Joe Flacco has had a decent 2nd year as starter. Flacco was banged up with a right hip injury last week in the battle with the Patriots. Luckily, Flacco was not needed often attempting just 10 passes throughout the evening. Flacco finished with just 34 yards on 4 completions, but again remember he was rarely needed at all. If the Ravens offense does need to move the ball down field in a hurry, they definitely have the tools to get it done. Flacco completed 63% on the year for 3,613 yards and 21 touchdowns. The Ravens have a lot of confidence in his arm and the playmaking ability of WR Derrick Mason who reached the 1,000 yard receiving mark this season for the 8th time in 9 years. However, the Ravens remain a rushing team. Baltimore has put major focus on running the ball with Rice in the last few weeks and has been a better team as a result. Rice can also produce a lot of damage catching balls out of the backfield so look for them to utilize the play calling around the newfound star very early in the game.

Pick – Under 44
 

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